Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Tavares 54.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.5%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 63.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 63.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Mitchell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Mitchell
Tavares
Last 10: Mitchell 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
5
3
Mitchell
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
4
Mitchell
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
54.0% (16,108)
-2.2%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
56.5% (4,283)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
50.6% (620)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Tavares
Home
54.4% (1,806)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Mitchell
Tavares
P1
52.0%
55.0%
P2
49.9%
54.1%
P3
50.9%
54.1%
OT
69.2%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 10:23 | Neutral | John Mitchell |