Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.1%). Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.0% vs Tavares 49.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.2%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 51.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Mitchell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Mitchell
Tavares
Last 5: Mitchell 0-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Mitchell
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Mitchell
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (607)
48.7% (871)
+1.9%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
49.8% (243)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (92)
60.0% (15)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Mitchell is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (457).
Mitchell shoots left. Tavares is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Tavares
Home
52.0% (406)
50.0% (542)
Away
47.7% (342)
48.2% (587)
By Period
Mitchell
Tavares
P1
51.6%
52.2%
P2
44.0%
50.0%
P3
55.0%
45.1%
OT
42.9%
48.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |