Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.2%). Look for Lehtera on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.8% vs Lehtera 51.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 76.3%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 61.8%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 54.0%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Mitchell
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Mitchell
Lehtera
Last 10: Mitchell 3-7 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
2
Mitchell
Lehtera
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
3
Mitchell
Lehtera
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mitchell
Lehtera
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (666)
50.6% (884)
+0.6%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
53.5% (155)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (47)
59.1% (22)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Mitchell shoots left. Lehtera is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Lehtera
Home
51.7% (360)
55.6% (549)
Away
50.1% (375)
46.5% (512)
By Period
Mitchell
Lehtera
P1
50.2%
53.8%
P2
49.4%
48.9%
P3
51.9%
50.8%
OT
75.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |