Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Hayes 47.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 65.5%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 84.1%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 74.5%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Mitchell
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mitchell
Hayes
Last 6: Mitchell 5-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
4
0
Mitchell
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
47.5% (6,708)
+4.3%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
51.7% (702)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
45.3% (697)
-1.2%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Hayes
Home
54.4% (1,806)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Mitchell
Hayes
P1
52.0%
47.5%
P2
49.9%
47.6%
P3
50.9%
47.9%
OT
69.2%
54.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | John Mitchell |