Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mitchell wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Arcobello shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.0% vs Arcobello 50.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 56.3%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 60.4%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 53.4%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Mitchell
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Mitchell
Arcobello
Last 6: Mitchell 4-2 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
1
Mitchell
Arcobello
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Arcobello
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
0
1
Mitchell
Arcobello
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (607)
52.6% (344)
-2.0%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
46.9% (32)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (92)
35.7% (28)
+4.5%
On power play, Mitchell has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Mitchell is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Mitchell shoots left. Arcobello is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Arcobello
Home
52.0% (406)
53.8% (173)
Away
47.7% (342)
48.9% (231)
By Period
Mitchell
Arcobello
P1
51.6%
51.6%
P2
44.0%
50.7%
P3
55.0%
51.1%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | John Mitchell |