Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mitchell wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Chaput 52.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Chaput leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Chaput 54.7%
Defensive zone
Chaput 55.0%
Neutral zone
Chaput 55.7%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Mitchell
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Mitchell
Chaput
Last 10: Mitchell 5-5 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
0
3
Mitchell
Chaput
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Mitchell
Chaput
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
1
Mitchell
Chaput
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
52.7% (374)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
62.5% (8)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
33.3% (3)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Mitchell is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Mitchell shoots left. Chaput is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Chaput
Home
61.9% (265)
58.4% (178)
Away
49.1% (273)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Mitchell
Chaput
P1
54.9%
52.3%
P2
56.8%
49.6%
P3
54.5%
56.9%
Final 5 min
55.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |