Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 56.8%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 54.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.9%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Mitchell
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mitchell
Dowd
Last 5: Mitchell 1-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Mitchell
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Mitchell
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
52.4% (6,009)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
56.1% (164)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
44.1% (1,635)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Mitchell shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Dowd
Home
54.4% (1,806)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Mitchell
Dowd
P1
52.0%
51.7%
P2
49.9%
50.4%
P3
50.9%
50.3%
OT
69.2%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |