Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 60.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 57.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 59.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Mitchell
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Mitchell
Bjugstad
Last 10: Mitchell 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
5
Mitchell
Bjugstad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Mitchell
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Mitchell
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
48.6% (6,634)
+3.2%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
55.2% (829)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
44.3% (614)
-0.2%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Mitchell shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Bjugstad
Home
54.4% (1,806)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Mitchell
Bjugstad
P1
52.0%
49.0%
P2
49.9%
49.1%
P3
50.9%
48.4%
OT
69.2%
61.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |