Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.8% vs Bonino 47.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 64.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 63.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 65.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Mitchell
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Mitchell
Bonino
Last 7: Mitchell 2-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Mitchell
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Mitchell
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (231)
48.4% (246)
-2.5%
Power Play
52.2% (67)
37.5% (32)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
65.2% (46)
41.2% (17)
+24.0%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Mitchell is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Mitchell shoots left. Bonino is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Bonino
Home
59.0% (134)
53.3% (122)
Away
43.8% (210)
42.2% (173)
By Period
Mitchell
Bonino
P1
48.0%
48.4%
P2
49.2%
44.3%
P3
50.9%
47.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |