Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.0% vs Berglund 50.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 54.1%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 61.8%
Neutral zone
Berglund 51.5%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Mitchell
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Mitchell
Berglund
Last 10: Mitchell 6-4 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
1
Mitchell
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
0
Mitchell
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
3
Mitchell
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (676)
50.4% (240)
+2.1%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
38.5% (13)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (155)
54.2% (24)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Mitchell is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Mitchell shoots left. Berglund is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Berglund
Home
52.2% (450)
51.8% (114)
Away
45.1% (399)
49.1% (163)
By Period
Mitchell
Berglund
P1
51.2%
48.4%
P2
50.2%
50.6%
P3
44.8%
52.1%
OT
80.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 6, 2016 | OT | 04:11 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | John Mitchell |