Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mitchell wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 53.4% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 50.8%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 75.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 62.7%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Mitchell
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mitchell
Gaustad
Last 5: Mitchell 3-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
1
Mitchell
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Mitchell
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (125)
58.6% (790)
-5.8%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
66.7% (93)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (20)
61.0% (269)
+19.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Mitchell is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Mitchell shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Gaustad
Home
58.5% (82)
60.6% (554)
Away
52.2% (67)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Mitchell
Gaustad
P1
59.3%
61.3%
P2
56.4%
55.5%
P3
50.0%
62.3%
Final 5 min
39.4%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |