Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.8% vs Stastny 57.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 72.6%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 66.6%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 68.6%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Mitchell
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Mitchell
Stastny
Last 10: Mitchell 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Mitchell
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
6
Mitchell
Stastny
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (666)
57.6% (959)
-6.4%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
60.8% (125)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (47)
58.1% (74)
-9.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Mitchell shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Stastny
Home
51.7% (360)
55.9% (590)
Away
50.1% (375)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Mitchell
Stastny
P1
50.2%
59.6%
P2
49.4%
59.0%
P3
51.9%
55.3%
OT
75.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |