Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Nash 48.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 72.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 73.6%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 72.9%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Mitchell
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Mitchell
Nash
Last 10: Mitchell 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
6
3
Mitchell
Nash
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
2
3
Mitchell
Nash
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
0
Mitchell
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
48.7% (4,621)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
51.0% (249)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
44.9% (550)
-0.8%
On power play, Mitchell has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Mitchell shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Nash
Home
54.4% (1,806)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Mitchell
Nash
P1
52.0%
49.0%
P2
49.9%
47.9%
P3
50.9%
48.0%
OT
69.2%
68.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | John Mitchell |