Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 58.0%
Defensive zone
Kesler 51.5%
Neutral zone
Kesler 60.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Mitchell
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
Mitchell
Kesler
Last 10: Mitchell 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
4
Mitchell
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
7
Mitchell
Kesler
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
6
3
Mitchell
Kesler
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
56.4% (8,095)
-4.6%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
60.7% (1,437)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
50.5% (1,908)
-6.4%
On power play, Kesler has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Mitchell shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Kesler
Home
54.4% (1,806)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Mitchell
Kesler
P1
52.0%
56.5%
P2
49.9%
55.9%
P3
50.9%
56.1%
OT
69.2%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | John Mitchell |