John Mitchell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mitchell wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Mitchell 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
45.0% (1,011)
+10.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
46.7% (135)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
31.1% (122)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Mitchell is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Mitchell shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
61.9% (265)
43.8% (625)
Away
49.1% (273)
43.9% (643)
By Period
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.9%
47.8%
P2
56.8%
39.5%
P3
54.5%
44.2%
Final 5 min
55.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |