Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Gagner 46.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 69.0%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 71.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 51.9%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Mitchell
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Mitchell
Gagner
Last 10: Mitchell 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Mitchell
Gagner
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
4
3
Mitchell
Gagner
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Mitchell
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
45.4% (4,699)
+6.4%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
51.5% (928)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
35.0% (226)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Mitchell shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Gagner
Home
54.4% (1,806)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Mitchell
Gagner
P1
52.0%
44.6%
P2
49.9%
46.1%
P3
50.9%
47.3%
OT
69.2%
42.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 14, 2010 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |