Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.0% vs Monahan 51.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 62.8%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 83.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 57.4%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Mitchell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Mitchell
Monahan
Last 8: Mitchell 2-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Mitchell
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Mitchell
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (676)
52.1% (1,301)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
50.3% (342)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (155)
38.5% (96)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Mitchell is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Mitchell shoots left. Monahan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,110).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Monahan
Home
52.2% (450)
52.7% (875)
Away
45.1% (399)
49.3% (864)
By Period
Mitchell
Monahan
P1
51.2%
51.0%
P2
50.2%
51.8%
P3
44.8%
50.9%
OT
80.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |