Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Mitchell wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.0% vs Lewis 42.9% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 75.6%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 71.6%
Neutral zone
Lewis 70.6%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Mitchell
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Mitchell
Lewis
Last 5: Mitchell 2-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Mitchell
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
2
Mitchell
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (676)
41.4% (198)
+11.1%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
64.3% (14)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (155)
26.7% (45)
+5.6%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Mitchell is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Mitchell shoots left. Lewis is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Lewis
Home
52.2% (450)
41.0% (134)
Away
45.1% (399)
39.0% (123)
By Period
Mitchell
Lewis
P1
51.2%
40.0%
P2
50.2%
38.2%
P3
44.8%
42.1%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | John Mitchell |