Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 75.8%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 50.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 59.4%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Mitchell
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Mitchell
Bozak
Last 10: Mitchell 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
5
Mitchell
Bozak
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
6
0
Mitchell
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mitchell
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
53.7% (9,596)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
55.2% (1,990)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
48.0% (1,094)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Mitchell shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Bozak
Home
54.4% (1,806)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Mitchell
Bozak
P1
52.0%
53.2%
P2
49.9%
52.8%
P3
50.9%
54.5%
OT
69.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |