Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Bozak 56.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 63.2%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 57.4%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 54.4%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Mitchell
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Mitchell
Bozak
Last 6: Mitchell 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Mitchell
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
56.5% (1,119)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
58.4% (226)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
50.0% (20)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Mitchell is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Mitchell shoots left. Bozak is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Bozak
Home
61.9% (265)
60.1% (682)
Away
49.1% (273)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Mitchell
Bozak
P1
54.9%
57.7%
P2
56.8%
53.7%
P3
54.5%
59.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |