Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.1% vs Tavares 52.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.3%
Defensive zone
Lander 73.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Lander
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lander
Tavares
Last 5: Lander 3-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lander
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
1
0
Lander
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lander
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (383)
52.4% (1,121)
-0.4%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
51.3% (304)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
58.8% (17)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lander is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Lander shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Home / Away
Lander
Tavares
Home
52.1% (217)
56.5% (731)
Away
48.3% (234)
47.8% (711)
By Period
Lander
Tavares
P1
44.7%
56.1%
P2
54.0%
50.3%
P3
50.7%
50.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Anton Lander |