Scouting Report
Anton Lander holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lander wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 53.5% vs Tavares 50.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.4%
Defensive zone
Lander 77.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Lander
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lander
Tavares
Last 6: Lander 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Lander
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
2
0
Lander
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lander
1
0
Lander
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (105)
48.7% (1,202)
+9.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
59.3% (305)
-59.3%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
47.9% (121)
+3.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lander is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Lander shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Lander
Tavares
Home
59.7% (62)
52.1% (841)
Away
53.2% (79)
49.0% (787)
By Period
Lander
Tavares
P1
51.3%
52.2%
P2
61.1%
50.7%
P3
54.2%
49.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
56.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |