Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 48.9% vs Tavares 53.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.6%
Defensive zone
Comeau 81.4%
Neutral zone
Comeau 59.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Comeau
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Comeau
Tavares
Last 9: Comeau 3-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
5
Comeau
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Comeau
3
1
Comeau
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (341)
54.0% (1,077)
-5.3%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
54.5% (275)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (158)
50.0% (18)
-5.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Comeau is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Comeau shoots right. Tavares is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Comeau
Tavares
Home
52.7% (298)
56.8% (655)
Away
44.4% (268)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Comeau
Tavares
P1
46.1%
54.1%
P2
50.5%
53.9%
P3
49.5%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
46.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
48.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |