Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 54.3% vs Tavares 52.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.4%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 55.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 71.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Dubinsky
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Dubinsky
Tavares
Last 10: Dubinsky 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
6
Dubinsky
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Dubinsky
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (784)
52.9% (1,239)
+1.6%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
54.7% (309)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (147)
50.0% (178)
+4.4%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Dubinsky shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Tavares
Home
55.1% (521)
55.0% (864)
Away
54.3% (431)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Dubinsky
Tavares
P1
58.5%
51.8%
P2
49.8%
51.4%
P3
55.8%
54.5%
OT
63.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
54.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |