Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.4%). Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Tavares 49.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 32-21 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 70.3%
Defensive zone
Sutter 88.5%
Neutral zone
Sutter 61.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Sutter
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
21
(53 meetings)
32
21
Sutter
Tavares
Last 10: Sutter 9-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
12
Sutter
Tavares
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
16
3
Sutter
Tavares
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
10
6
Sutter
Tavares
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (565)
48.6% (716)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (64)
52.4% (208)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (132)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sutter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Sutter shoots right. Tavares is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Sutter
Tavares
Home
53.5% (381)
50.7% (448)
Away
46.8% (380)
48.1% (482)
By Period
Sutter
Tavares
P1
48.6%
52.8%
P2
52.1%
51.4%
P3
50.0%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |