Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Flynn wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 56.1% vs Tavares 53.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.5%
Defensive zone
Flynn 87.9%
Neutral zone
Flynn 50.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Flynn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Flynn
Tavares
Last 10: Flynn 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Flynn
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
5
0
Flynn
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
1
Flynn
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (251)
54.0% (1,077)
+2.6%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
54.5% (275)
+28.8%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (89)
50.0% (18)
+9.6%
On power play, Flynn has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Flynn is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Flynn shoots right. Tavares is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Flynn
Tavares
Home
61.0% (177)
56.8% (655)
Away
54.4% (169)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Flynn
Tavares
P1
56.8%
54.1%
P2
60.0%
53.9%
P3
55.8%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
55.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
57.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2015 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |