Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Flynn leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.6%
Defensive zone
Flynn 59.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 76.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Flynn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
12
(29 meetings)
17
12
Flynn
Tavares
Last 10: Flynn 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
7
Flynn
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
11
2
Flynn
Tavares
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
6
3
Flynn
Tavares
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
54.0% (16,108)
-3.8%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
56.5% (4,283)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
50.6% (620)
-2.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Flynn
Tavares
Home
50.8% (661)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
48.8% (642)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Flynn
Tavares
P1
47.3%
55.0%
P2
51.8%
54.1%
P3
50.0%
54.1%
OT
58.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |