Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Tavares 54.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 76.3%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 76.3%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 77.3%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Hodgson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Hodgson
Tavares
Last 10: Hodgson 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
6
Hodgson
Tavares
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
4
Hodgson
Tavares
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Hodgson
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
54.0% (16,108)
-7.8%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
56.5% (4,283)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
50.6% (620)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Hodgson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Hodgson shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Tavares
Home
48.8% (1,431)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Hodgson
Tavares
P1
47.9%
55.0%
P2
48.9%
54.1%
P3
42.3%
54.1%
OT
44.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2013 | OT | 04:15 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |