Scouting Report
Craig Adams holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Adams wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 51.0% vs Tavares 49.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.6%
Defensive zone
Adams 77.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.3%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Adams
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Adams
Tavares
Last 8: Adams 5-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Adams
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
4
0
Adams
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Adams
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (57)
48.6% (716)
+12.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
52.4% (208)
-52.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (40)
33.3% (6)
+6.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Adams is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Adams shoots right. Tavares is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Adams
Tavares
Home
47.8% (46)
50.7% (448)
Away
55.8% (52)
48.1% (482)
By Period
Adams
Tavares
P1
52.0%
52.8%
P2
38.2%
51.4%
P3
64.1%
43.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
52.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |