Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brière on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.5% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Brière leads 22-20 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 64.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Brière
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
20
(42 meetings)
22
20
Brière
Tavares
Last 10: Brière 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
7
5
Brière
Tavares
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brière
7
5
Brière
Tavares
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
10
Brière
Tavares
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,812)
54.0% (16,108)
-6.4%
Power Play
54.0% (309)
56.5% (4,283)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
50.6% (620)
+2.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Brière is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,504).
Brière shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Brière
Tavares
Home
50.7% (1,092)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
46.2% (1,068)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Brière
Tavares
P1
50.5%
55.0%
P2
45.9%
54.1%
P3
48.6%
54.1%
OT
54.2%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Feb 7, 2012 | OT | 03:38 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |