Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 47.9% vs Tavares 52.1% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.8%
Defensive zone
Winnik 70.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Winnik
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Winnik
Tavares
Last 5: Winnik 3-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Winnik
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
0
Winnik
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
0
Winnik
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (116)
52.4% (1,121)
-4.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
51.3% (304)
+48.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (111)
58.8% (17)
-13.8%
On power play, Winnik has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Winnik is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Winnik shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Home / Away
Winnik
Tavares
Home
46.9% (98)
56.5% (731)
Away
46.9% (130)
47.8% (711)
By Period
Winnik
Tavares
P1
55.1%
56.1%
P2
41.2%
50.3%
P3
45.9%
50.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
46.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:10 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |