Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyce wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs Tavares 52.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 66.9%
Defensive zone
Boyce 88.6%
Neutral zone
Boyce 71.9%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Boyce
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Boyce
Tavares
Last 8: Boyce 1-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Boyce
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyce
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Boyce
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
52.1% (992)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
53.7% (294)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
50.0% (22)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boyce is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Boyce shoots left. Tavares is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Boyce
Tavares
Home
51.5% (239)
51.7% (679)
Away
40.8% (218)
53.4% (640)
By Period
Boyce
Tavares
P1
47.7%
52.2%
P2
46.5%
49.3%
P3
44.8%
56.3%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |