Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Moore wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.0% vs Tavares 50.6% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.8%
Defensive zone
Moore 62.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Moore
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Moore
Tavares
Last 7: Moore 2-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Moore
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
2
1
Moore
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (522)
48.7% (1,202)
+7.8%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
59.3% (305)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (113)
47.9% (121)
-2.8%
On even strength, Moore has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Moore is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Moore shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Moore
Tavares
Home
55.3% (320)
52.1% (841)
Away
53.9% (334)
49.0% (787)
By Period
Moore
Tavares
P1
53.1%
52.2%
P2
56.7%
50.7%
P3
54.0%
49.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | John Tavares |