Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jeffrey on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jeffrey wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 45.8% vs Tavares 52.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 56.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Jeffrey
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Jeffrey
Tavares
Last 6: Jeffrey 5-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Jeffrey
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
4
0
Jeffrey
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
0
Jeffrey
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (207)
52.1% (992)
-6.2%
Power Play
26.9% (26)
53.7% (294)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.0% (22)
-7.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jeffrey is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Jeffrey shoots left. Tavares is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Tavares
Home
45.7% (116)
51.7% (679)
Away
42.7% (131)
53.4% (640)
By Period
Jeffrey
Tavares
P1
42.5%
52.2%
P2
48.4%
49.3%
P3
39.7%
56.3%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
44.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |