Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jeffrey on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 48.0% vs Tavares 49.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.5%
Defensive zone
Jeffrey 72.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.2%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Jeffrey
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Jeffrey
Tavares
Last 7: Jeffrey 7-0 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
2
0
Jeffrey
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
3
0
Jeffrey
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
2
0
Jeffrey
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
48.6% (716)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
33.3% (6)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Jeffrey has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jeffrey is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Jeffrey shoots left. Tavares is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Tavares
Home
44.2% (113)
50.7% (448)
Away
50.6% (87)
48.1% (482)
By Period
Jeffrey
Tavares
P1
47.7%
52.8%
P2
41.7%
51.4%
P3
50.7%
43.7%
Final 5 min
39.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |