Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Holloway wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 45.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holloway 84.8%
Defensive zone
Holloway 74.2%
Neutral zone
Holloway 78.8%
Result
Dylan Holloway favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Holloway
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Holloway
Tavares
Last 9: Holloway 1-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Holloway
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Holloway
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Holloway
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (127)
57.7% (998)
-14.4%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
60.5% (271)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
56.4% (39)
-6.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Holloway is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Holloway shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Holloway
Tavares
Home
48.6% (72)
59.7% (610)
Away
36.6% (71)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Holloway
Tavares
P1
40.0%
57.2%
P2
43.2%
58.5%
P3
45.1%
59.4%
Final 5 min
44.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
50.0%▲
45.0%
42.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Dylan Holloway |