Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fehr on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fehr wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 45.9% vs Tavares 53.8% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 77.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Fehr
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Fehr
Tavares
Last 5: Fehr 4-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Fehr
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
4
0
Fehr
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (210)
54.0% (1,077)
-7.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
54.5% (275)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
50.0% (18)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Fehr is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Fehr shoots right. Tavares is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Fehr
Tavares
Home
44.7% (159)
56.8% (655)
Away
43.4% (83)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Fehr
Tavares
P1
41.5%
54.1%
P2
46.2%
53.9%
P3
44.1%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
41.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
44.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |