Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haas wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 43.7% vs Tavares 54.9% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haas 53.4%
Defensive zone
Haas 70.0%
Neutral zone
Haas 70.5%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Haas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Haas
Tavares
Last 5: Haas 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haas
1
0
Haas
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Haas
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Haas
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (376)
54.8% (861)
-13.6%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
57.5% (226)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
51.7% (29)
+5.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Haas is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Haas shoots right. Tavares is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Haas
Tavares
Home
44.8% (181)
58.1% (559)
Away
40.1% (227)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Haas
Tavares
P1
36.8%
57.6%
P2
45.1%
55.5%
P3
44.4%
52.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
42.2%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |