Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Haas wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 46.6% vs Tavares 54.7% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.6%
Defensive zone
Haas 75.3%
Neutral zone
Haas 64.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Haas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Haas
Tavares
Last 5: Haas 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Haas
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Haas
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (240)
54.5% (692)
-10.3%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
59.1% (149)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (58)
54.5% (11)
-4.5%
On even strength, Tavares has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Haas is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Haas shoots right. Tavares is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Haas
Tavares
Home
46.8% (190)
57.9% (404)
Away
43.1% (116)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Haas
Tavares
P1
43.6%
54.2%
P2
42.1%
55.1%
P3
50.5%
56.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |