Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Borgstrom wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 42.6% vs Tavares 54.2% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 56.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Borgstrom
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Borgstrom
Tavares
Last 6: Borgstrom 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Borgstrom
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Borgstrom
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
1
0
Borgstrom
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (384)
53.0% (1,201)
-12.4%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
61.5% (262)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
53.8% (65)
-13.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Borgstrom is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Borgstrom shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Tavares
Home
44.2% (190)
57.5% (762)
Away
37.7% (215)
51.4% (766)
By Period
Borgstrom
Tavares
P1
46.6%
54.5%
P2
32.9%
53.2%
P3
44.8%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |