Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Rose wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 45.1% vs Tavares 52.7% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 66.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Rose
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rose
Tavares
Last 5: Rose 3-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rose
1
0
Rose
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Rose
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
2
0
Rose
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (423)
52.9% (1,239)
-7.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
54.7% (309)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
50.0% (178)
-18.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Rose is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Rose shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Rose
Tavares
Home
46.7% (227)
55.0% (864)
Away
41.7% (240)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Rose
Tavares
P1
47.5%
51.8%
P2
42.9%
51.4%
P3
41.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
41.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
44.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |