Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Josefson wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Tavares 49.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.6%
Defensive zone
Josefson 76.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.3%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Josefson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Josefson
Tavares
Last 10: Josefson 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
6
Josefson
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
6
1
Josefson
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (178)
48.6% (716)
+2.0%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
52.4% (208)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
33.3% (6)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Josefson is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Josefson shoots left. Tavares is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Josefson
Tavares
Home
50.0% (120)
50.7% (448)
Away
46.6% (116)
48.1% (482)
By Period
Josefson
Tavares
P1
46.4%
52.8%
P2
50.6%
51.4%
P3
48.8%
43.7%
OT
0.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 31, 2013 | OT | 01:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |