Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.3% vs Tavares 49.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.5%
Defensive zone
McClement 77.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
McClement
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
McClement
Tavares
Last 10: McClement 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
McClement
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McClement
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (311)
48.6% (716)
+2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
52.4% (208)
+47.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (78)
33.3% (6)
+18.0%
On power play, McClement has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McClement is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (214).
McClement shoots left. Tavares is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
McClement
Tavares
Home
50.5% (216)
50.7% (448)
Away
53.1% (177)
48.1% (482)
By Period
McClement
Tavares
P1
45.5%
52.8%
P2
43.8%
51.4%
P3
61.4%
43.7%
OT
87.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.7%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |