Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 52.5% vs Tavares 51.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.1%
Defensive zone
Winchester 78.2%
Neutral zone
Winchester 58.6%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Winchester
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Winchester
Tavares
Last 6: Winchester 6-0 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
2
0
Winchester
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
1
0
Winchester
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winchester
3
0
Winchester
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (177)
51.5% (1,232)
+4.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
51.1% (305)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (54)
36.7% (30)
+9.6%
On power play, Winchester has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Winchester is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Winchester shoots right. Tavares is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Winchester
Tavares
Home
57.1% (98)
52.8% (781)
Away
51.1% (137)
49.9% (804)
By Period
Winchester
Tavares
P1
44.6%
52.8%
P2
59.3%
52.1%
P3
55.9%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
53.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |