Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Brien on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 48.0% vs Tavares 51.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
O'Brien leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.2%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 70.1%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 50.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
O'Brien
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
O'Brien
Tavares
Last 10: O'Brien 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
O'Brien
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Brien
5
0
O'Brien
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
O'Brien
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
51.5% (1,232)
-2.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
51.1% (305)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (67)
36.7% (30)
+8.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. O'Brien is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (190).
O'Brien shoots right. Tavares is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Tavares
Home
46.8% (139)
52.8% (781)
Away
47.9% (117)
49.9% (804)
By Period
O'Brien
Tavares
P1
51.6%
52.8%
P2
46.1%
52.1%
P3
41.9%
48.7%
OT
100.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
41.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |