Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings). Slater wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 54.1% vs Tavares 51.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 22-11 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 93.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Slater
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
22
(33 meetings)
11
22
Slater
Tavares
Last 10: Slater 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
15
Slater
Tavares
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
5
1
Slater
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
6
Slater
Tavares
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (884)
51.5% (1,232)
+4.0%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
51.1% (305)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (246)
36.7% (30)
+13.3%
On power play, Slater has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Slater is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Slater shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Slater
Tavares
Home
58.1% (594)
52.8% (781)
Away
50.6% (571)
49.9% (804)
By Period
Slater
Tavares
P1
53.6%
52.8%
P2
52.3%
52.1%
P3
57.2%
48.7%
OT
25.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
56.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
54.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Dec 20, 2011 | OT | 00:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Jim Slater |