Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 21 meetings). Slater wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 56.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 29-19 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.0%
Defensive zone
Slater 78.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 66.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Slater
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
29
(48 meetings)
19
29
Slater
Tavares
Last 10: Slater 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
19
Slater
Tavares
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
10
2
Slater
Tavares
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
8
Slater
Tavares
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,983)
54.0% (16,108)
+4.9%
Power Play
65.2% (46)
56.5% (4,283)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (722)
50.6% (620)
+0.8%
On power play, Slater has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Slater is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,721).
Slater shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Slater
Tavares
Home
60.9% (1,436)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
52.7% (1,329)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Slater
Tavares
P1
57.0%
55.0%
P2
55.6%
54.1%
P3
58.4%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
57.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jim Slater |