Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Hecht wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Hecht 90.6%
Defensive zone
Hecht 94.1%
Neutral zone
Hecht 94.5%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Hecht
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Hecht
Tavares
Last 10: Hecht 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
9
Hecht
Tavares
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hecht
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
8
Hecht
Tavares
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
54.0% (16,108)
-10.8%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
56.5% (4,283)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
50.6% (620)
-8.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Hecht shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Hecht
Tavares
Home
45.5% (714)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
40.7% (668)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Hecht
Tavares
P1
41.9%
55.0%
P2
44.7%
54.1%
P3
43.1%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |