Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 66.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 58.0% vs Tavares 49.4% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 54.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 93.0%
Neutral zone
Vitale 80.9%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Vitale
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Vitale
Tavares
Last 6: Vitale 5-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
0
Vitale
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (251)
48.6% (716)
+11.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
52.4% (208)
+47.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
33.3% (6)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Vitale is 66.2% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Vitale shoots right. Tavares is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Vitale
Tavares
Home
62.8% (121)
50.7% (448)
Away
59.6% (136)
48.1% (482)
By Period
Vitale
Tavares
P1
51.8%
52.8%
P2
57.1%
51.4%
P3
73.3%
43.7%
Final 5 min
65.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
61.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |