Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.4%). Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Tavares 54.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.3%
Defensive zone
Vitale 77.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.5%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Vitale
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Vitale
Tavares
Last 10: Vitale 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
11
2
Vitale
Tavares
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
4
Vitale
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
54.0% (16,108)
+1.9%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
56.5% (4,283)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
50.6% (620)
-3.5%
On power play, Vitale has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Vitale
Tavares
Home
56.1% (1,050)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Vitale
Tavares
P1
52.9%
55.0%
P2
53.8%
54.1%
P3
57.5%
54.1%
OT
72.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |